Bemmel vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bemmel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
QUI
1 - 3
BEM
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
BEM
5 - 2
GER
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
STE
0 - 1
BEM
36%
25%
39%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
BEM
1 - 3
ORI
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
HEI
1 - 0
BEM
38%
23%
39%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
ALC
1 - 0
ORI
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ROH
3 - 0
ALC
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ALC
1 - 0
LON
47%
23%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
BVC
0 - 4
ALC
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
STE
1 - 2
ALC
44%
24%
33%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |