WC Qual. CONCACAF 1st Round Final
Global 8-3
Belize vs Montserrat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belize
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2011 |
MSR
2 - 5
BLZ
15%
20%
65%
|
48 | 7 | 41 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
NIC
1 - 1
BLZ
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
BLZ
2 - 5
SLV
10%
21%
68%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
PAN
2 - 0
BLZ
87%
10%
3%
|
48 | 81 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
GTM
4 - 2
BLZ
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 78 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Montserrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2011 |
MSR
2 - 5
BLZ
15%
20%
65%
|
7 | 48 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2010 |
KNA
4 - 0
MSR
94%
5%
1%
|
7 | 51 | 44 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
MSR
0 - 5
BRB
2%
11%
87%
|
7 | 57 | 50 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
VCT
7 - 0
MSR
94%
6%
1%
|
7 | 52 | 45 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
MSR
1 - 7
SUR
17%
23%
61%
|
7 | 53 | 46 | 0 |