Belgrano Paraná vs Atlético Paraná analysis


36	ELO	53
-1.1%	Tilt	-1.3%
6812º	General ELO ranking	4869º
151º	Country ELO ranking	125º
ELO win probability

21.7%

Belgrano Paraná

24.1%

Draw

54.2%

Atlético Paraná

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

21.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%

24.1%

Draw

0-0

1-1

11.5%

2-2

4.7%

3-3

0.9%

4-4

0.1%

24.1%

54.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%