Os Belenenses vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
SCP
3 - 2
BEL
68%
20%
13%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
BEL
2 - 1
ATL
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
VAR
1 - 1
BEL
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
BEL
2 - 1
LEX
60%
23%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
SAN
2 - 3
BEL
36%
30%
34%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
VIT
2 - 0
SLB
28%
27%
45%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
FCP
2 - 1
VIT
62%
22%
17%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
VIT
2 - 1
ACA
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
FAB
1 - 1
VIT
42%
27%
32%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
VIT
3 - 0
UFT
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |