Belasica vs Vardar Skopje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
51.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belasica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 2
FKK
47%
23%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
SIL
3 - 2
BEL
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SAS
1 - 1
BEL
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 1
FKB
24%
23%
53%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 1
OSO
69%
17%
14%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Vardar Skopje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 1
POB
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
REN
2 - 2
VAR
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
POB
0 - 0
VAR
15%
20%
65%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
TIK
1 - 0
VAR
39%
24%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
SAS
0 - 0
VAR
14%
18%
69%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |