Belasica vs Tikves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belasica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2004 |
BAS
2 - 0
BEL
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
MAD
3 - 0
BEL
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
BEL
0 - 1
NAP
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
POB
3 - 0
BEL
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
BEL
1 - 3
JUG
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tikves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2004 |
TIK
3 - 2
NAP
30%
27%
43%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
POB
3 - 2
TIK
73%
16%
10%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
TIK
1 - 2
JUG
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
SIL
3 - 1
TIK
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
TIK
0 - 3
RAB
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |