National 3 Group H Round 16

Aviron Bayonnais vs Pau FC II analysis

Aviron Bayonnais Pau FC II
33 ELO 33
-14.7% Tilt -23.3%
4494º General ELO ranking 6030º
107º Country ELO ranking 159º
ELO win probability
40.4%
Aviron Bayonnais
23.6%
Draw
36%
Pau FC II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
Aviron Bayonnais
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
36%
Win probability
Pau FC II
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aviron Bayonnais
+94%
-18%
Pau FC II

ELO progression

Aviron Bayonnais
Pau FC II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aviron Bayonnais
Aviron Bayonnais
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2017
STA
Stade Bordelais
3 - 1
Aviron Bayonnais
BAY
71%
19%
10%
33 42 9 0
21 Jan. 2017
BAY
Aviron Bayonnais
0 - 2
Bressuire
BRE
45%
24%
32%
34 36 2 -1
14 Jan. 2017
LEG
Lège-Cap-Ferret
2 - 1
Aviron Bayonnais
BAY
41%
25%
34%
34 30 4 0
17 Dec. 2016
BAY
Aviron Bayonnais
2 - 0
Les Herbiers II
LES
58%
21%
22%
34 28 6 0
10 Dec. 2016
MAR
Marmande 47
0 - 1
Aviron Bayonnais
BAY
50%
23%
27%
33 31 2 +1

Matches

Pau FC II
Pau FC II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2017
FCP
Pau FC II
0 - 0
La Roche Vendée
LRO
56%
21%
24%
34 31 3 0
28 Jan. 2017
ANG
Angouleme
0 - 0
Pau FC II
FCP
47%
23%
31%
34 32 2 0
14 Jan. 2017
STA
Stade Bordelais
1 - 0
Pau FC II
FCP
62%
20%
19%
35 41 6 -1
18 Dec. 2016
FCP
Pau FC II
2 - 1
Bressuire
BRE
45%
23%
32%
34 37 3 +1
10 Dec. 2016
LES
Les Genêts d'Anglet
0 - 0
Pau FC II
FCP
55%
21%
24%
34 38 4 0