Bayern München vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BYM
3 - 0
LEV
65%
19%
15%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
S04
0 - 2
BYM
19%
22%
59%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 2
BYM
30%
24%
46%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BYM
7 - 0
SCF
81%
14%
6%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
KAI
0 - 3
BYM
10%
18%
72%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 0
EVE
59%
23%
18%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 0
BIR
75%
17%
8%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FUL
2 - 2
MAC
30%
26%
44%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 1
NAP
67%
20%
13%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 0
WIG
73%
17%
10%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |