Bayern München vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
HSV
1 - 3
BYM
5%
13%
83%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MON
0 - 0
BYM
8%
16%
76%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
ROM
1 - 7
BYM
12%
18%
70%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BYM
6 - 0
BRE
87%
10%
4%
|
98 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BYM
4 - 0
HAN
86%
10%
4%
|
98 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
STP
0 - 3
BVB
6%
13%
81%
|
92 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
BVB
0 - 1
HAN
72%
17%
10%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
GAL
0 - 4
BVB
18%
20%
63%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
KOL
2 - 1
BVB
10%
17%
74%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BVB
0 - 1
HSV
75%
16%
9%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | -1 |