Bayern Alzenau vs FC Erlensee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
5º
4º
27
7º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
85.5% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 74 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 67 |
3º
|
87% | |
|
|
4º
|
62 | 63 |
4º
|
87% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 57 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 56 |
6º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
78% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 50 |
8º
|
76% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 48 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 44 |
10º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 43 |
11º
|
81.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
90% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 35 |
13º
|
79.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 31 |
15º
|
70% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
60% | |
|
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern Alzenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
HSC
2 - 0
BAY
29%
20%
51%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAY
0 - 3
SVA
63%
18%
18%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DIE
3 - 1
BAY
10%
15%
75%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BAY
3 - 1
VIK
77%
15%
9%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
GIE
2 - 1
BAY
57%
22%
20%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FC Erlensee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
FCH
1 - 3
FCE
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FCE
4 - 0
DIE
57%
20%
23%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FCE
2 - 3
EIN
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCE
1 - 3
STE
65%
19%
17%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 2
FCE
79%
13%
8%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |