B. Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LEV
0 - 0
BYM
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LEV
3 - 0
HAN
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
HOF
1 - 1
LEV
32%
25%
43%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
LEV
1 - 2
RTV
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2016 |
SCI
3 - 3
LEV
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
MON
5 - 1
BRE
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
BRE
3 - 3
HER
33%
26%
41%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
S04
1 - 3
BRE
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
AUS
1 - 3
BRE
34%
24%
42%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SIV
0 - 0
BRE
28%
22%
50%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |