Bavenstedt vs Germania Leer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bavenstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
LAN
2 - 0
BAV
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
BAV
1 - 4
OYT
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CLO
6 - 2
BAV
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BAV
2 - 1
BUC
82%
12%
6%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
BAV
4 - 3
RAE
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Germania Leer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2009 |
GEL
1 - 1
VFL
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
GEL
1 - 2
HAV
19%
23%
59%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BSV
5 - 1
GEL
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
GEL
1 - 0
PRH
34%
23%
44%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
BAR
3 - 2
GEL
47%
23%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |