Bastia vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
49.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
ASN
2 - 1
BAS
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 0
QUE
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 0
CLE
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
ROD
0 - 0
BAS
40%
27%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
HAL
1 - 3
BAS
7%
13%
81%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
TFC
4 - 0
ASN
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
TFC
1 - 1
PAU
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 1
TFC
5%
14%
81%
|
77 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
NÎM
1 - 2
TFC
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
TFC
4 - 1
NÎM
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |