Bastia vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
LMU
1 - 1
BAS
25%
26%
49%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
BAS
3 - 1
LEN
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
MAR
3 - 1
BAS
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
BAS
2 - 0
SOC
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
AUX
4 - 1
BAS
50%
27%
24%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
GUI
1 - 0
TFC
62%
23%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
GIR
1 - 2
TFC
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
TFC
2 - 2
MPL
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
MON
3 - 0
TFC
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
TFC
1 - 0
MET
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |