Bastia vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
35.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 1
BAS
45%
26%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
BAS
4 - 1
AJA
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
LHA
2 - 0
BAS
45%
28%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 2
LUS
59%
25%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
GUI
4 - 0
BAS
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2007 |
STR
1 - 0
BRE
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
FCL
1 - 0
STR
28%
28%
45%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2007 |
STR
1 - 0
REI
63%
23%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 1
STR
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
IST
3 - 2
STR
20%
27%
53%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |