Bastia vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
BAS
4 - 0
LYO
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1969 |
REN
3 - 1
BAS
60%
21%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
BAS
2 - 2
NÎM
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
STR
4 - 0
BAS
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCR
45%
23%
32%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
LYO
0 - 0
RED
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
RED
2 - 1
STR
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
NIC
1 - 1
RED
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
RED
1 - 1
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
VAL
3 - 0
RED
63%
24%
13%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |