Bastia vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
BAS
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 1
BAS
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 0
GIR
38%
27%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
QUE
1 - 1
BAS
12%
19%
70%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
TFC
1 - 1
BAS
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
MET
0 - 0
NIC
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LYO
2 - 0
MET
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
AVR
0 - 3
MET
26%
25%
50%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
MET
2 - 3
MPL
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
NAN
0 - 0
MET
56%
24%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |