Bastia vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
LIL
1 - 0
BAS
63%
21%
15%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 0
NAN
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MET
3 - 1
BAS
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
LEN
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
GIR
1 - 1
BAS
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
LOR
0 - 2
ETG
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
LYO
4 - 0
LOR
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LOR
0 - 1
REI
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MPL
1 - 0
LOR
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LOR
4 - 0
GUI
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |