Bastia vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
54.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
BRE
4 - 0
BAS
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 0
SED
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
CHA
2 - 0
BAS
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
MET
0 - 0
BAS
59%
23%
17%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 0
DIJ
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
SOC
0 - 1
LEN
40%
28%
33%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2008 |
STR
1 - 1
LEN
27%
26%
47%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
LEN
2 - 0
AMI
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2008 |
TOU
3 - 1
LEN
20%
25%
55%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2008 |
LEN
1 - 0
GUI
74%
17%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |