UEFA Intertoto Cup round 5

Bastia vs Grazer AK analysis

Bastia Grazer AK
81 ELO 79
-4.6% Tilt 7.2%
733º General ELO ranking 657º
26º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
61.8%
Bastia
21.1%
Draw
17.2%
Grazer AK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
Bastia
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.2%
Win probability
Grazer AK
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bastia
+5%
-14%
Grazer AK

ELO progression

Bastia
Grazer AK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bastia
Bastia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jul. 1997
EBB
Ebbw Vale
1 - 2
Bastia
BAS
7%
16%
77%
81 12 69 0
05 Jul. 1997
BAS
Bastia
1 - 0
Silkeborg IF
SIF
57%
22%
22%
81 79 2 0
22 Jun. 1997
HDR
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
0 - 1
Bastia
BAS
39%
24%
38%
81 75 6 0
24 May. 1997
REN
Stade Rennais
1 - 3
Bastia
BAS
46%
25%
29%
81 79 2 0
17 May. 1997
BAS
Bastia
2 - 1
Auxerre
AUX
33%
28%
39%
80 87 7 +1

Matches

Grazer AK
Grazer AK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jul. 1997
GRA
Grazer AK
3 - 1
Austria Lustenau
SCA
62%
23%
15%
78 69 9 0
13 Jul. 1997
GRA
Grazer AK
1 - 3
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
HDR
61%
21%
19%
78 74 4 0
09 Jul. 1997
GRA
Grazer AK
0 - 4
Sturm Graz
STR
37%
28%
35%
79 82 3 -1
28 Jun. 1997
EBB
Ebbw Vale
0 - 0
Grazer AK
GRA
8%
18%
74%
79 11 68 0
22 Jun. 1997
GRA
Grazer AK
2 - 0
Silkeborg IF
SIF
42%
25%
33%
78 79 1 +1