Bastia vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SOC
1 - 1
BAS
43%
25%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
REN
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
REI
4 - 2
BAS
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
AJA
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
NIC
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ETG
0 - 4
LOR
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
MON
1 - 1
ETG
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ETG
2 - 1
TFC
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 2
ETG
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 1
ETG
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |