Bastia vs Drancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
BEL
0 - 1
BAS
12%
23%
65%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BAS
0 - 1
SED
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
FCS
2 - 3
BAS
11%
22%
66%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 0
LIL
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
FCM
1 - 2
BAS
15%
24%
62%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
DRA
1 - 0
OLY
66%
23%
11%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BEL
2 - 2
DRA
26%
28%
46%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
DRA
1 - 2
LEN
43%
28%
30%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
SED
3 - 0
DRA
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
DRA
0 - 1
SCH
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |