BASK vs Sopot analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BASK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
VOZ
3 - 1
BAS
20%
28%
52%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
4 - 3
DOR
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
BEO
4 - 1
BAS
15%
25%
60%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 0
BAL
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ZEM
1 - 0
BAS
35%
28%
38%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sopot
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SOP
0 - 0
SIN
38%
27%
35%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
HAJ
2 - 1
SOP
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SOP
0 - 0
SRE
31%
27%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
RAD
3 - 2
SOP
58%
24%
18%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SOP
1 - 0
KOV
40%
25%
36%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |