Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
STG
0 - 3
BAS
18%
22%
60%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
ZUR
1 - 3
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
SIO
0 - 3
BAS
23%
24%
54%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
BAS
0 - 0
GCZ
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 1
LUG
69%
19%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ZUR
1 - 0
SIO
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
ZUR
1 - 3
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
LUG
3 - 0
ZUR
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ZUR
0 - 1
YOB
18%
22%
60%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
GCZ
1 - 1
ZUR
22%
25%
52%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |