Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 3
YOB
36%
24%
40%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FCL
1 - 1
BAS
22%
23%
55%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
THU
4 - 2
BAS
26%
24%
51%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
BAS
3 - 2
LUG
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
WIN
0 - 1
BAS
11%
18%
71%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ZUR
2 - 0
GCZ
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
ZUR
1 - 2
AEK
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
NEX
3 - 3
ZUR
30%
24%
46%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ZUR
1 - 2
SIO
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
LEV
1 - 0
ZUR
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |