Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
MTA
1 - 1
BAS
32%
23%
45%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 3
BAS
19%
21%
61%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 2
MTA
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MEY
0 - 4
BAS
5%
11%
84%
|
85 | 37 | 48 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 1
THU
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ZUR
2 - 5
FCL
36%
26%
39%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
TAV
1 - 6
ZUR
3%
8%
89%
|
79 | 20 | 59 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
SIO
3 - 1
ZUR
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
STG
0 - 2
ZUR
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
DNM
1 - 1
ZUR
39%
25%
37%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |