Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
STG
2 - 4
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
FCL
0 - 1
BAS
29%
24%
48%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 2
GCZ
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
BEL
0 - 2
BAS
18%
21%
61%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCA
81%
14%
6%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ZUR
2 - 0
BEL
67%
20%
14%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
FCA
1 - 3
ZUR
16%
22%
62%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCL
61%
22%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
YOB
2 - 1
ZUR
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
SIO
1 - 1
ZUR
28%
25%
47%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |