Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
FCA
0 - 5
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
BAS
1 - 1
YOB
64%
19%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
YOB
2 - 5
BAS
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
BAS
4 - 2
FCA
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
ZUR
2 - 2
BAS
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
ZUR
3 - 1
YOB
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
GCZ
1 - 1
ZUR
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2005 |
ZUR
0 - 2
STG
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
ZUR
1 - 1
GCZ
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
FCA
2 - 3
ZUR
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |