Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1979 |
BAS
2 - 0
STG
76%
15%
9%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
GCZ
2 - 1
BAS
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
BAS
6 - 0
YOB
70%
18%
13%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
STG
1 - 1
BAS
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1979 |
BAS
1 - 1
NOB
81%
13%
6%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1979 |
ZUR
3 - 3
GCZ
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
YOB
0 - 1
ZUR
42%
27%
32%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
ZUR
2 - 3
SER
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
YOB
1 - 3
ZUR
43%
27%
31%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1979 |
ZUR
6 - 0
CSC
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |