Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 2
CHL
25%
24%
52%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
THU
2 - 2
BAS
25%
24%
52%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
SIO
0 - 1
BAS
24%
24%
51%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BAS
3 - 1
ZUR
59%
21%
20%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 2
TOT
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 1
GCZ
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 0
LAU
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SIO
2 - 1
FCL
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
FCL
0 - 4
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
GCZ
0 - 0
FCL
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |