Basel vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
YOB
1 - 2
BAS
59%
22%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
BAS
1 - 1
LAU
29%
24%
47%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
GCZ
2 - 1
BAS
81%
12%
7%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
BAS
1 - 0
STG
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
NEX
3 - 1
BAS
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
LUG
3 - 3
SER
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
ZUR
4 - 1
LUG
69%
20%
12%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
LUG
0 - 2
FCA
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
SIO
2 - 0
LUG
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCL
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |