Basel vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
SCH
4 - 2
BAS
14%
20%
66%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
LUG
0 - 4
BAS
12%
18%
70%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2006 |
RAB
0 - 1
BAS
19%
22%
60%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCA
81%
13%
6%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 0
BAS
15%
20%
65%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
RKC
2 - 2
FEY
16%
22%
63%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
FEY
3 - 2
NAC
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2006 |
FEY
0 - 0
LSO
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
FEY
1 - 0
EXC
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2006 |
BVV
2 - 3
FEY
15%
20%
66%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |