Basel vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
STG
1 - 1
BAS
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
BAS
1 - 0
SIO
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
ZUR
1 - 0
BAS
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1985 |
LAU
2 - 2
BAS
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1985 |
BAS
0 - 3
FCW
71%
17%
11%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
FCA
5 - 1
FCL
68%
19%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
FCW
1 - 6
FCA
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
FCA
2 - 2
LAU
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1985 |
FCA
4 - 0
BAD
82%
12%
6%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1985 |
VEV
1 - 1
FCA
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |