Basel vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
46.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
ZUR
1 - 4
BAS
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
BAS
2 - 2
GCZ
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
MEN
0 - 5
BAS
4%
11%
85%
|
84 | 34 | 50 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
CLU
2 - 1
BAS
29%
26%
46%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
YOB
2 - 2
BAS
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
BYM
1 - 2
M05
75%
17%
8%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
HOF
1 - 2
BYM
16%
21%
64%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BYM
0 - 0
KOL
81%
14%
6%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
BYM
2 - 0
ROM
52%
24%
24%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
BYM
0 - 0
BRE
51%
23%
26%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |