Barwell vs Stafford Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
BLY
2 - 0
BAR
67%
19%
15%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
SUT
70%
19%
12%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
BAR
4 - 0
SKE
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
COR
0 - 2
BAR
26%
22%
52%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
MAT
25%
25%
51%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Stafford Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 0
RFC
61%
23%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
RFC
2 - 0
MAT
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
BLY
2 - 2
RFC
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
RFC
2 - 1
HED
41%
25%
35%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
HED
1 - 1
RFC
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |