Barry Town vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
42.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CON
2 - 3
BAR
61%
24%
16%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
BAR
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
FLI
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 2
TNS
27%
24%
49%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
HAV
2 - 2
PEN
21%
25%
54%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
ABE
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
TNS
3 - 2
PEN
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
7 - 1
CEF
77%
15%
7%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | +1 |