Barry Town vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
4 - 1
POR
51%
22%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
GOY
1 - 0
BAR
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAR
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ABE
0 - 5
BAR
22%
21%
56%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
5 - 2
CAL
79%
13%
7%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CWM
0 - 3
HAV
19%
22%
59%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
HAV
0 - 4
LID
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
HAV
1 - 1
GOY
69%
18%
12%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
HAV
1 - 0
ABE
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
NWP
1 - 2
HAV
34%
23%
43%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |