Barrow vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
56.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
GAT
4 - 1
BAR
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
GAT
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
BOR
1 - 1
BAR
20%
26%
54%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
BAR
4 - 2
TOW
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
TOW
3 - 3
BAR
22%
23%
55%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
WAL
0 - 2
ROC
34%
27%
40%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
STF
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 0
CHE
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 3
ROC
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 2
SCU
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |