Barras vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
CRA
2 - 1
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2007 |
ABC
3 - 1
BAR
76%
16%
9%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 2
ABC
23%
25%
52%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
VIL
2 - 1
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 3
CRA
32%
26%
42%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
VIL
3 - 0
ABC
52%
25%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2007 |
VIL
3 - 1
CRA
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
CRA
1 - 2
VIL
43%
26%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
VIL
2 - 1
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
ABC
4 - 0
VIL
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -2 |