Barranquilla vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
61.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
18.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.9%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
TFC
2 - 0
BAR
54%
27%
19%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
RSC
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
BJC
0 - 0
BAR
39%
27%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 2
LLA
24%
30%
46%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 2
CHI
16%
27%
57%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 3
FOR
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
TFC
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
RSC
1 - 1
FOR
20%
27%
53%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 0
COR
54%
22%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 1
BJC
72%
19%
10%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |