Sportivo Barracas vs Dep. Muñiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
6º
5º
23
6º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Barracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
LUG
0 - 0
SBA
37%
27%
36%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
SBA
0 - 0
CBA
77%
16%
7%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
MER
0 - 0
SBA
30%
24%
47%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
SBA
0 - 0
ARR
58%
22%
19%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
JUU
0 - 1
SBA
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Muñiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MUÑ
0 - 1
CBA
66%
21%
13%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MER
3 - 2
MUÑ
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
MUÑ
0 - 2
ARR
42%
26%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
JUU
1 - 1
MUÑ
37%
26%
38%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
MUÑ
1 - 0
DPA
57%
24%
20%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |