Sportivo Barracas vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Barracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
SBA
0 - 4
CAA
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
GLP
2 - 0
SBA
85%
12%
3%
|
32 | 75 | 43 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
ARR
0 - 0
SBA
30%
26%
44%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
CBA
1 - 1
SBA
35%
26%
40%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
LIN
0 - 2
SBA
62%
22%
16%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CBA
2 - 2
LUG
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
LUG
0 - 1
LIN
29%
28%
43%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 0
CLA
25%
25%
51%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 0
CAM
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
CES
0 - 0
LUG
52%
24%
24%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |