Barra Mansa vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
35%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barra Mansa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
ANG
1 - 0
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
SCR
3 - 0
BAR
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
ITA
27%
24%
49%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 1
BAR
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
BAR
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
DUQ
3 - 0
NOV
23%
25%
51%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
DUQ
0 - 3
AME
33%
26%
42%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
QUE
2 - 0
DUQ
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
DUQ
1 - 2
AFC
60%
22%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
AUD
2 - 1
DUQ
48%
26%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |