South African First Division Round 13

Baroka vs Black Leopards analysis

Baroka Black Leopards
68 ELO 65
-8% Tilt -8.6%
2813º General ELO ranking 3768º
21º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
48.8%
Baroka
26.2%
Draw
25%
Black Leopards

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
Baroka
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25%
Win probability
Black Leopards
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Baroka
-7%
-8%
Black Leopards

ELO progression

Baroka
Black Leopards
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Baroka
Baroka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Dec. 2018
MAR
Durban City
0 - 1
Baroka
BAR
43%
28%
29%
69 70 1 0
16 Dec. 2018
BAR
Baroka
1 - 2
Bidvest Wits
BID
36%
30%
35%
69 74 5 0
11 Dec. 2018
SUN
Mamelodi Sundowns
0 - 0
Baroka
BAR
58%
24%
18%
68 76 8 +1
08 Dec. 2018
BAR
Baroka
2 - 2
Orlando Pirates
PIR
27%
26%
47%
67 77 10 +1
25 Nov. 2018
BAR
Baroka
1 - 0
Bidvest Wits
BID
34%
27%
39%
66 73 7 +1

Matches

Black Leopards
Black Leopards
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Dec. 2018
BLA
Black Leopards
3 - 1
AmaZulu
AMA
36%
28%
36%
63 68 5 0
12 Dec. 2018
MAR
Durban City
1 - 1
Black Leopards
BLA
51%
26%
23%
62 69 7 +1
01 Dec. 2018
BLA
Black Leopards
0 - 1
Bidvest Wits
BID
28%
29%
43%
63 73 10 -1
11 Nov. 2018
MPU
Cape Town City FC
3 - 1
Black Leopards
BLA
53%
26%
21%
63 71 8 0
07 Nov. 2018
CHI
Kaizer Chiefs
1 - 0
Black Leopards
BLA
56%
26%
18%
63 75 12 0