Baroka vs African Warriors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baroka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
WIT
3 - 1
BAR
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 2
EAG
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SWA
0 - 3
BAR
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 0
BLA
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MTH
0 - 2
BAR
29%
27%
45%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
African Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
WAR
1 - 0
MBO
34%
26%
41%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
WAR
44%
26%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
WAR
0 - 2
SFC
32%
26%
43%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
WIT
2 - 1
WAR
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 0
WAR
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |