Barnstaple Town vs Melksham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
66.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnstaple Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CIR
4 - 1
BAR
93%
5%
2%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
WIN
7 - 0
BAR
85%
11%
5%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 0
PAU
13%
19%
69%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +3 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
LAR
0 - 0
BAR
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 2
MAN
14%
19%
67%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Melksham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
MEL
1 - 2
THA
42%
21%
37%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 1
BID
26%
20%
54%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 2
MEL
40%
22%
38%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 3
BLA
21%
20%
58%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
MEL
1 - 3
MON
22%
21%
58%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |