Barnechea vs Unión San Felipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
4º
16º
9º
41
2º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
5 - 1
BAR
37%
27%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
DEP
4 - 1
BAR
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
FVC
58%
22%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
IQU
0 - 2
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
SWA
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
USF
1 - 3
SAN
43%
27%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
USF
0 - 1
PUE
32%
28%
41%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PUE
2 - 1
USF
48%
27%
26%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
USF
2 - 1
FVC
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
IQU
3 - 0
USF
41%
26%
34%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -2 |