Barmbek-Uhlenhorst vs Bergedorf 85 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
50.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barmbek-Uhlenhorst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
GER
2 - 0
BAR
76%
15%
10%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
BRA
42%
24%
34%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 2
HAL
42%
25%
33%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
RUG
1 - 0
BAR
57%
21%
22%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
PAL
41%
25%
34%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bergedorf 85
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BER
0 - 1
RUG
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
3 - 0
BER
27%
23%
50%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BER
0 - 2
MEI
63%
20%
18%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SVL
5 - 1
BER
26%
22%
51%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
BER
1 - 4
CUR
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -3 |