Bardena vs Puyal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
42.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 2
CAS
57%
20%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
UNC
2 - 4
BAR
55%
20%
25%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 2
ALE
38%
22%
40%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
BIO
3 - 1
BAR
69%
17%
14%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
PRA
41%
22%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Puyal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
PUY
0 - 0
REM
30%
22%
48%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 4
PUY
32%
22%
46%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PUY
2 - 0
UNC
56%
20%
24%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ALE
5 - 2
PUY
28%
22%
51%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
PUY
3 - 2
BIO
37%
22%
41%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |