Copa del Rey . Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Barcelona vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1981 |
FCB
3 - 1
RAY
82%
13%
5%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1981 |
RAY
0 - 3
FCB
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1981 |
FCB
4 - 1
RMC
88%
9%
4%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1981 |
RMC
3 - 5
FCB
24%
24%
53%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
SEV
1 - 1
FCB
37%
28%
35%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1981 |
ATH
2 - 0
SLA
84%
10%
6%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
SLA
2 - 1
ATH
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1981 |
ALA
3 - 3
ATH
23%
24%
53%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1981 |
ATH
3 - 1
ALA
89%
8%
4%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1981 |
ATH
6 - 1
SLA
82%
12%
6%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |